Future

Reader's assistance for adaptation predictions

Password fields from the Book

Table II-B, Total averaged radiative forcings for 150 years

W/m²

Table IV, Minimum global average ground temperature at the PETM

^oC

Supplement Fig. 1 - Year when croplands will be depleted by 50%

SELECT the end of the decade year for your prediction,

SELECT your prediction for reduction of ALL anthropogenic greenhouse gasses in three decades in comparison with the Business As Usual projection (BAU). Under the BAU, increase in radiative forcings of all greenhouse gasses continues along the average of 5-year and 10-year trends preceding 2021. Limits to your reductions prediction are described in the book under "Adaptation."

2030

%

2040

%

2050

%

Radiative Forcings of Greenhouse Gasses, W/m²

SELECT YOUR RISK TOLERANCE

SELECT the margin of safety in ^oC away from the minimum PETM temperature, 0.7 ^oC line is shown as an example:

Margin of Safety

^oC

RISK meaning is the same as CCDF in the Book in the section "Climate Sensitivity." SELECT your RISK tolerance level that results in temperature below the Margin of Safety temperature

RISK tolerance

Global Average Ground Surface Temperature T_G

^oC

SELECT your continent

Asia

North America

Australia

Europe and North Africa

South Africa

South America

Your continent

Isotherms temperature is for in-ground in 1900 for July, averaged over all 24-hour days
Croplands in 2010-2015 are in the bright green color
SELECTyour location in the bright green zone and enter below the temperatures of the boundaries isotherms

Isotherm 1 temperature

^oC

Isotherm 2 temperature

^oC

T_G	Max T_G	N.America	Europe	Asia	Africa	Australia
Over 43		lifeless	lifeless	lifeless	lifeless	lifeless
43	94	Death Valley
42	91			Dasht-e Lut
42	56					Central
39	47	Mojave
35	52				Sahara
32	37			Kara-Kum
31	39	Chihuahua
31-33	43	West Texas
30	40	Oklahoma
28	44		Arid land		Kalahari
27	37		Tabernas
26	41			Gobi

Predicted Isotherm temperature based on user selected data

Isotherm 1

^oC

Isotherm 2

^oC

SELECT the desert in the table using your isotherm values and values for T_G in the recent time 2010-2020

• On a cooler side

• On a hotter side

Summary

Prediction YEAR
REDUCTION OF ANTHROPOGENIC GHGs, in %	-
in 2030
in 2040
in 2050
RADIATIVE FORCINGS OVER 150 YEARS, in W/m²	-
Business-as-Usual
Reduced Anthropogenic after 2020
No Anthropogenic after 2020
RISK TOLERANCE, %
Global Average In-Ground Temperature, T_G ^oC
Selected isotherm 1 temperature in 1900
Selected isotherm 2 temperature in 1900
Isotherm 1 temperature in PREDICTION YEAR
Isotherm 2 temperature in PREDICTION YEAR
Desert name on a cooler side
Desert name on a hotter side

Solution

Example Contact Us No Password

Future

Reader's assistance for adaptation predictions

Password fields from the Book

SELECT the end of the decade year for your prediction,

2030

%

2040

%

2050

%

Radiative Forcings of Greenhouse Gasses, W/m²

Average Radiative Forcings over 150 years, W/m²

Selected % reduction of Anthropogenic GHG emissions

%

%

%

SELECT YOUR RISK TOLERANCE

SELECT your continent

Asia

North America

Australia

Europe and North Africa

South Africa

South America

Your continent

Summary

Future

Reader's assistance for adaptation predictions

Password fields from the Book

SELECT the end of the decade year for your prediction,

2030

%

2040

%

2050

%

Radiative Forcings of Greenhouse Gasses, W/m2

Average Radiative Forcings over 150 years, W/m2

Selected % reduction of Anthropogenic GHG emissions

%

%

%

SELECT YOUR RISK TOLERANCE

SELECT your continent

Your continent

Summary

Radiative Forcings of Greenhouse Gasses, W/m²

Average Radiative Forcings over 150 years, W/m²